09 October 2015

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - Happy Thanksgiving, Hosers!

Gold had a nice steady rally up to the 1160 area, and then was capped there for the rest of the day.

Silver managed to climb back up to the 16 handle, but was not able to hold it this week which was a little disappointing.

Gold even managed to show a little delivery action at The Bucket Shop yesterday, as a few paper receipts managed to change hands amongst the house accounts of JPM, Nova Scotia, and HSBC.

Next week is likely to be a little more important test for gold as it is now bumping up against some overhead resistance in the long bear market.

The warehouses are a bit thin on deliverables, and as my friend Dave asked, 'why does no fund ever try to take this price and supply situation in hand and stand for delivery?'

That is a very good question, and one that has occurred to most of us when we see the kinds of setups that have been seen to work in these markets.

I have always thought it to be a kind of professional courtesy;  the same reason why carnies do not play at each others games in front of the townies, except in some supportive role.

I have included the economic calendar for next week.

I have noticed that the precious metals trolls have been acting a bit forlorn lately and thowing out a lot of exceptionally weak material.  Perhaps we are nearing a short term top.  Well, it is hard to say.  And so I won't.

On Monday 12th October our Canadian friends will be celebrating their Thanksgiving.

And a happy one to you all.  As a consequence their markets will be closed.

Canada is the country that most Americans still think that they have, or would like to have, but don't.

Have a pleasant weekend.

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - It's All Over Now, Baby Blue

“It would take a while before the postmodern Narcissus perceived the ruins of society behind the emptiness of his mirror.”

Paul Verhaeghe

If there have been any doubts about the veracity of the above quote remaining after the post-Fed pronouncement of Alan Greenspan, I am sure that Ben Bernanke has dispelled them with his most recent musings in the press about his memoirs and his time as the head of the Federal Reserve.

Have a pleasant weekend.

Hear, Smith of the Heavens - Heyr, Himna Smiður

'Always we need you, truly every moment...'

Late at night, after their concert at BürgerBahnhof, Árstíðir gave a spontaneous performance in the train station in Wuppertal, Germany on September, 15th 2013.

Here is a video of Árstíðir singing this in Vilnius, in a quieter setting.

Icelandic Hymn
by Kolbeinn Tumason (1173–1208)

Hear, smith of the heavens,
what the poet asks.
May your mercy come softly unto me.
I call on you, for you have created me.
I am your servant, and you are my true Lord.

God, I call on you to heal me.
Remember me, prince of peace.
Always we need you.
Generous and great, drive out, O king of heavens,
every human sorrow from the dwelling of the heart.

Watch over me, gentle one,
Always we need you, truly every moment,
in this world of men.
Send us, son of the virgin, good causes.
All help comes from you, into my deepest heart.

08 October 2015

Gold Daily and Silver Weekly Charts - The Bucket Shop

"The terrible, cold, cruel part is Wall Street. Rivers of gold flow there from all over the earth, and death comes with it. There, as nowhere else, you feel a total absence of the spirit: herds of men who cannot count past three, herds more who cannot get past six, scorn for pure science and demoniacal respect for the present.

And the terrible thing is that the crowd that fills the Street believes that the world will always be the same, and that it is their duty to keep that huge machine running, day and night, forever."

Federico Garcia Lorca

Gold and silver were rallying slightly most of the day, while stocks were trending lower.

When the dovish Fed minutes came out stocks managed to rally and the precious metals reversed for losses.

The pricing of the metals at The Bucket Shop is strikingly diverged from the physical markets.

No where is this more apparent in the delivery reports, in which only copper seems to be getting some action, and little else.

The domestic warehouses continue to bleed out bullion.   In particular gold is held in size now only at the Scotia Mocatta and HSBC warehouses.

Have a pleasant evening.

SP 500 and NDX Futures Daily Charts - Loose As a Goose

Stocks were weak most of the day, until the Fed minutes from their last meeting came out in the afternoon.

The Fed's meeting conversations were dovish, and so on their release the minutes triggered a short covering rally in stocks.

Financial paper assets love that loose policy talk.

Have a pleasant evening.